I think McCain will have a pretty good chance of winning the general election. I'll tell you why. McCain is far closer to the center than Clinton or Obama. Clinton will capture the looney left, but there are many folks I know that are moderates or slightly left leaning that can't stomach the thought of putting Clinton in office that wouldn't hesistate to pull the lever for McCain after looking at him saying "hmm, he's not an extremist, the far right wing nutjobs don't like him, good enough".
While being at one extreme or another is useful for securing the nomination, it doesn't win general elections. The independent voters decide the election, and if New Hampshire is any indication, the independents will turn out in droves.
I personally thing McCain is a shoe-in for the presidency. He won't win with my vote, but I do think he will win.
Polls show it too:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_clinton-224.htmlThe picture isn't as rosy if he runs against Obama:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.htmlHis "change" campaign is hitting home with people who are tired of the same old **** year after year. Of course unless he actually comes out with some clearly outlined plans on how he's going to go about making that change happen, I think reality will bite some of those people in the rear and make them realize Obama is just saying what the majority wants to hear. But he hasn't secured the nomination.
Personally I hope Clinton gets the nod for the nomination. She's an easily impeached politician.
Isn't this fun? We live in the greatest country on earth, God bless the USA!