According to RCP, MN 2 and 3 are likely Dem pickups

Firearms related political discussion forum

According to RCP, MN 2 and 3 are likely Dem pickups

Postby jdege on Thu Oct 11, 2018 9:45 am

According to Real Clear Politics MN2 and MN3 are likely Dem pickups:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/house/2018_elections_house_map.html

That's Jason Lewis:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/house/mn/minnesota_2nd_district_lewis_vs_craig-6380.html

And Erik Paulsen:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/house/mn/minnesota_3rd_district_paulsen_vs_phillips-6345.html

We can't let that happen.

It'd be nice if the GOP picked up MN1 and MN8. It'd be joyous if we could pick up MN7.

But if we lose MN2 and MN3 it'll be a disaster.
User avatar
jdege
 
Posts: 2466 [View]
Joined: Sun Jul 29, 2007 10:07 am

Re: According to RCP, MN 2 and 3 are likely Dem pickups

Postby Ghost on Thu Oct 11, 2018 10:18 am

How can Jason Lewis lose?
User avatar
Ghost
 
Posts: 8042 [View]
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2014 8:49 pm

According to RCP, MN 2 and 3 are likely Dem pickups

Postby INOR on Thu Oct 11, 2018 11:34 am

Looked at 2016 results. Kstp poll had Craig at +5 before election but Lewis won by +2.2. I wouldn’t get your undies in a bunch just yet.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
INOR
 
Posts: 1200 [View]
Joined: Tue Nov 24, 2015 12:12 pm

Re: According to RCP, MN 2 and 3 are likely Dem pickups

Postby Ghost on Thu Oct 11, 2018 11:38 am

INOR wrote:Looked at 2016 results. Kstp poll had Craig at +5 before election but Lewis won by +2.2. I wouldn’t get your undies in a bunch just yet.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

They’ll say he had a Trump bump. I just don’t see him losing.
User avatar
Ghost
 
Posts: 8042 [View]
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2014 8:49 pm

According to RCP, MN 2 and 3 are likely Dem pickups

Postby INOR on Thu Oct 11, 2018 12:16 pm

Well +2 is a pretty slim victory for a R candidate in the 2nd. Lot of people in the district don’t like him.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
INOR
 
Posts: 1200 [View]
Joined: Tue Nov 24, 2015 12:12 pm

Re: According to RCP, MN 2 and 3 are likely Dem pickups

Postby Ghost on Thu Oct 11, 2018 12:20 pm

INOR wrote:Well +2 is a pretty slim victory for a R candidate in the 2nd. Lot of people in the district don’t like him.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Why don’t they like him?
User avatar
Ghost
 
Posts: 8042 [View]
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2014 8:49 pm

Re: According to RCP, MN 2 and 3 are likely Dem pickups

Postby yukonjasper on Thu Oct 11, 2018 12:23 pm

If 2016 taught us anything it's that polls are poor indicators of results. I get 2 calls a day that i don't pick up because I just don't want to talk to a pollster. To truly understand a poll you have to know the methodology of the sample pool selection. I have seen polls that rely on newspaper subscribers. Lots of conservatives don't subscribe to liberal rags. Just an example. I am not saying that anyone should completely ignore polls or become complacent, i just don't think most polls are worth more than a passing glance. I do agree that there should be no reason to lose those districts. I've donated more this year in lieu of volunteering. I have some personal commitments that have taken my time this cycle. Time effort and or donation to your candidates are needed these days-a vote is necessary but the extra will mean success or failure.
Deo Adjuvante Non Timendum - (with the help of God there is nothing to be afraid of)
Spectamur Agendo - (We are proven by our actions)
Non Ducor, Duco - (I am not led, I lead)
NRA Life Member
User avatar
yukonjasper
 
Posts: 4967 [View]
Joined: Wed Feb 06, 2008 3:31 pm
Location: eagan

According to RCP, MN 2 and 3 are likely Dem pickups

Postby INOR on Thu Oct 11, 2018 12:53 pm

For being unavailable...no real town halls, not being responsive to people in his district contacting him, for being supportive of increasing fiscal deficits when he purported to be a fiscal hawk willing to shut down the government if necessary. I know several people who vote R who have described him as a disappointment. Guess it remains to be seen if that translates into a vote for Craig by some of those folks.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
INOR
 
Posts: 1200 [View]
Joined: Tue Nov 24, 2015 12:12 pm

Re: According to RCP, MN 2 and 3 are likely Dem pickups

Postby Ghost on Thu Oct 11, 2018 1:46 pm

INOR wrote:For being unavailable...no real town halls, not being responsive to people in his district contacting him, for being supportive of increasing fiscal deficits when he purported to be a fiscal hawk willing to shut down the government if necessary. I know several people who vote R who have described him as a disappointment. Guess it remains to be seen if that translates into a vote for Craig by some of those folks.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

I don’t see Craig as the solution. I was getting calls all the time to join his call in townhalls but never did.
User avatar
Ghost
 
Posts: 8042 [View]
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2014 8:49 pm

According to RCP, MN 2 and 3 are likely Dem pickups

Postby INOR on Thu Oct 11, 2018 1:59 pm

I don’t see Craig as the solution either but some just vote opposite of whatever they don’t like at the time. I won’t vote for her. She’s a snake. I know people in the industry she worked in. None of the people that I know that worked with her at her former company liked her.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
INOR
 
Posts: 1200 [View]
Joined: Tue Nov 24, 2015 12:12 pm

Re: According to RCP, MN 2 and 3 are likely Dem pickups

Postby jdege on Thu Oct 11, 2018 5:35 pm

Ghost wrote:
INOR wrote:Looked at 2016 results. Kstp poll had Craig at +5 before election but Lewis won by +2.2. I wouldn’t get your undies in a bunch just yet.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

They’ll say he had a Trump bump. I just don’t see him losing.

He will if too many of us don't bother to turn out.

I want to see SCOTUS hold for Young vs. Hawaii. I want to see an end to may-issue permitting.

That won't happen if the dems win the House and Trump and Kavanaugh are in the middle of impeachment proceedings.

We need them to lose, badly.
User avatar
jdege
 
Posts: 2466 [View]
Joined: Sun Jul 29, 2007 10:07 am

Re: According to RCP, MN 2 and 3 are likely Dem pickups

Postby yukonjasper on Sat Oct 13, 2018 12:01 pm

Donate to Jason Lewis for Congress

Countdown Until Election Day

Stop the Anti-Gun PAC
Steve,

Giffords PAC (one of the largest anti-gun spending groups) is going ALL IN on trying to get Jason out of Congress.

They've dropped $1.3 MILLION on slanderous ads against him.

What has Jason done? Defend our constitution to the fullest extent and protect our right to bear arms. To put it plainly, radicals like Nancy Pelosi don't care about our rights. They will relentlessly attack you if your views don't coincide with their liberal beliefs.

But we have a chance to push back.

Will you give what you can to protect the right to bear arms and keep Jason fighting in Congress for us?

Protect Our 2nd Amendment
Jason has consistently fought for the 2nd Amendment. He's received an A rating from the NRA and received numerous endorsements from pro-gun groups. Now that he's under attack, we need your help before it's too late to stop anti-gun legislation from being passed.

Take a stand with Jason for $350
Take a stand with Jason for $200
Take a stand with Jason for $75
Contribute Another Amount
Please, Steve, our founding fathers endowed us with the 2nd Amendment for a reason. It's up to Jason to protect it in Congress. He can't do that without your help.

For our constitution,



Team Lewis






Paid for by Jason Lewis for Congress, Inc.

Jason Lewis for Congress, Inc.
13800 Nicollet Blvd.
P.O. Box 3055
Burnsville, MN 55337


This email is sent to yukonjasper@gmail.com by Jason Lewis for Congress, Inc. To unsubscribe from future emails use this link.


Privacy Policy
This email was sent to yukonjasper@gmail.com. Don't want to receive these emails anymore? Unsubscribe
Lewis for Congress, 13800 Nicollet Blvd., Burnsville, MN 55337
Deo Adjuvante Non Timendum - (with the help of God there is nothing to be afraid of)
Spectamur Agendo - (We are proven by our actions)
Non Ducor, Duco - (I am not led, I lead)
NRA Life Member
User avatar
yukonjasper
 
Posts: 4967 [View]
Joined: Wed Feb 06, 2008 3:31 pm
Location: eagan


Return to Politics

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests

cron