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Minnesota is losing a congressional district

PostPosted: Sun Jan 05, 2020 9:52 am
by jdege
Minnesota is losing a congressional district.

We've had eight for many years, we'll be down to seven after the next census and redistricting.

The DFL fought hard, at the last redistricting, to preserve a district each for St Paul and Minneapolis, when it would have been far less gerrymanderish to combine them.

Are they going t be forced to combine them, this time?

Re: Minnesota is losing a congressional district

PostPosted: Sun Jan 05, 2020 10:26 am
by Rip Van Winkle
The short answer would be no.

Whatever scheme the DFL comes up with, which benefits them the most, will be upheld by our liberal courts.

Re: Minnesota is losing a congressional district

PostPosted: Sun Jan 05, 2020 4:39 pm
by xd ED
Is it a foregone conclusion MN is losing a house seat?
I know there has been much speculation.

And perhaps I'm too cynical for my own good, but given the abysmal voting behavior of this state, I think the nation would be better off if we did. I'm sure there's some downside to it for the state, but I can't imagine that vote being applied any worse than it has been in MN.

Re: Minnesota is losing a congressional district

PostPosted: Sun Jan 05, 2020 4:46 pm
by jdege
xd ED wrote:Is it a foregone conclusion MN is losing a house seat?

If the census results follow the current estimates, yes.

http://nymag.com/intelligencer/2019/12/pre-census-estimates-show-reapportionment-winners-losers.html
Final Pre-Census Estimates Show Which States Will Become More Powerful After 2020
Image

Re: Minnesota is losing a congressional district

PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2020 6:04 am
by Rip Van Winkle
It seems to me, Minnesota has been projected to lose a Congressional District for the last 20 years.

Re: Minnesota is losing a congressional district

PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2020 7:16 am
by MJY65
xd ED wrote:And perhaps I'm too cynical for my own good, but given the abysmal voting behavior of this state, I think the nation would be better off if we did. I'm sure there's some downside to it for the state, but I can't imagine that vote being applied any worse than it has been in MN.


I agree. I'm not sure there is a more reliable source for 10 Democrat electoral votes than MN.

Re: Minnesota is losing a congressional district

PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2020 8:52 am
by jdege
MN's congressional delegation hasn't been solidly DFL in many years.

Mpls, St Paul, Duluth, and the far NW have been traditionally DFL. The others have been GOP as often as not.

Re: Minnesota is losing a congressional district

PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2020 8:56 am
by MJY65
jdege wrote:MN's congressional delegation hasn't been solidly DFL in many years.

Mpls, St Paul, Duluth, and the far NW have been traditionally DFL. The others have been GOP as often as not.


Right, but all 10 electoral votes go to whoever the Metro picks for POTUS. That has been a D since the 70s

Re: Minnesota is losing a congressional district

PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2020 11:03 am
by xd ED
MJY65 wrote:
jdege wrote:MN's congressional delegation hasn't been solidly DFL in many years.

Mpls, St Paul, Duluth, and the far NW have been traditionally DFL. The others have been GOP as often as not.


Right, but all 10 electoral votes go to whoever the Metro picks for POTUS. That has been a D since the 70s


Yep; in '72, MN went for Nixon; the last time MN supported an R.

In 1980, MN alone went for Jimmy Carter; the other 49 states for Ronald Reagan... even after Carter allowed the Iranian revolution to take place, the aftereffects still making headlines, even as I write this.

Prior to the Great Depression, MN was pretty consistently R.

Re: Minnesota is losing a congressional district

PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2020 11:09 am
by Ghost
xd ED wrote:
MJY65 wrote:
jdege wrote:MN's congressional delegation hasn't been solidly DFL in many years.

Mpls, St Paul, Duluth, and the far NW have been traditionally DFL. The others have been GOP as often as not.


Right, but all 10 electoral votes go to whoever the Metro picks for POTUS. That has been a D since the 70s


Yep; in '72, MN went for Nixon; the last time MN supported an R.

In 1980, MN alone went for Jimmy Carter; the other 49 states for Ronald Reagan... even after Carter allowed the Iranian revolution to take place, the aftereffects still making headlines, even as I write this.

Prior to the Great Depression, MN was pretty consistently R.

In ‘80 Carter carried 6 states. It was ‘84 that MN was the only state not for Reagan.

Re: Minnesota is losing a congressional district

PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2020 11:59 am
by xd ED
Ghost wrote:In ‘80 Carter carried 6 states. It was ‘84 that MN was the only state not for Reagan.



You are right;
I stand corrected.

Interesting Reagan had 10x the the number of Electoral College votes that Carter got ; 489/ 49

1980
Image


In 1984, only MN, and the District of Columbia went for Mondale/ Ferraro over Reagan. 525/ 13; more than 40:1
1984
Image

Re: Minnesota is losing a congressional district

PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2020 12:16 pm
by Ghost
xd ED wrote:
Ghost wrote:In ‘80 Carter carried 6 states. It was ‘84 that MN was the only state not for Reagan.



You are right;
I stand corrected.

Interesting Reagan had 10x the the number of Electoral College votes that Carter got ; 489/ 49

1980
Image


In 1984, only MN, and the District of Columbia went for Mondale/ Ferraro over Reagan. 525/ 13; more than 40:1
1984
Image

I don’t like it but I do understand the 84 vote.

I hope this year is a change in direction. <—— take note of the hope and change

Re: Minnesota is losing a congressional district

PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2020 12:23 pm
by jdege
Ghost wrote:It was ‘84 that MN was the only state not for Reagan.

It was close, in 84, and I've been told it was due to a last-minutes emergency ballotbox-stuffing effort on the range.

Re: Minnesota is losing a congressional district

PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2020 12:37 pm
by Ghost
jdege wrote:
Ghost wrote:It was ‘84 that MN was the only state not for Reagan.

It was close, in 84, and I've been told it was due to a last-minutes emergency ballotbox-stuffing effort on the range.

Minnesota nice at its finest

Re: Minnesota is losing a congressional district

PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2020 5:45 pm
by bstrawse
jdege wrote:Minnesota is losing a congressional district.

We've had eight for many years, we'll be down to seven after the next census and redistricting.

The DFL fought hard, at the last redistricting, to preserve a district each for St Paul and Minneapolis, when it would have been far less gerrymanderish to combine them.

Are they going t be forced to combine them, this time?


The Maps will be drawn by the legislature elected in 2020 -- which right now is split. This year's election will be a critical one (I know, we hear that every year)