xd ED wrote:mc762x54R wrote:This is ridiculous, and people are finally starting to see it. Let individuals and families decide if they want to shelter in place forever. I HIGHLY doubt taxing Timmy will lift the order on May4. It'll be more BS graphs and his comically poor understanding of statistics, and we need a few more weeks blah blah blah. His stupid '95% confidence' claims are designed to scare anyone with statistics knowledge.
Every now and then, some revealing bits of information slip out of the Walz brain trust:Health Commissioner Jan Malcolm revealed a tantalizing trend Tuesday,
regarding the time it takes for the number of confirmed coronavirus
cases to double — a key metric in assessing the shape of the bell curve
that typifies any outbreak of infectious disease.
In early March, as the state’s first cases were being reported, the number was doubling every day or two, she said.
The first 11 days....
TOTAL CASES
From earlier published data
date in Mar/ #of cases + change
1/ 0
2/ 0
3/ 0
4 / 0
5/ 0
6/ 1 +1
7/ 1
8/ 3 +2
9/ 3
10 /3
11/ 5 +2
Somehow, in her mind there is enough significance in going from 1 to 2, and 2 to 4 to help create a model that first predicted 50-70,000 deaths in the state.
and when questioned about the original model's predictions, Gov Walz replied:"~ I thought is was a shocking number, and asked about it, but I put it out because what if the number was right and I didnt, then look at the tough media questions I would face."
The old better safe than sorry method. And once it’s over he can claim he saved so many lives.