river_boater wrote:Heffay wrote:This is a good time to sell ammo. The ammo makers are probably putting out as many rounds as they can, and eventually the people who are stocking up will stop buying due to lack of funds/space/spousal approval.
It's just an ammo bubble. Be ready for the down side! And there will be a down side.
I disagree. I think the current conditions are here to stay. Sort-of like gas prices, we will never see $2.00 gas again.
Do you think that you won't see $10 (Gen 2, windowless) PGMAS again online? I would not make that bet.
Do you think that you won't see $6xx.xx DPMS AR-15s online again? Already seen it (but they still ould out fast because demand is still there).
Do you think that you won't see sub $100 forged no-name receivers? You definitely will. Who would continue buying up all of them, and at inflated prices?
Ammo won't be different. Eventually it will come down, but it will take somewhat longer because people still buying everything they can and even at ridiculous prices. As soon as things return to the state where you know that you can walk into a store (and if not that one, the next one) and buy it there, many of those people will lose interest.
Gasoline is an entirely different commodity because you NEED it to get to work. If you stop buying it, you lose all your buing power. And $2 per gallon gasoline is entirely possible, it all depends on the supply and demand (barring taxation that makes $2 impossible).
Naturally, manufacturers won't make ammo at a loss and retailers can't afford to sell it at a loss, so there is a minimum that you will be paying, but assuming no governmental distraction, ammo prices will go down sooner or later.